by Thomas Wright
For a generation, U.S. strategic thinking has been shaped by a Unipolar Concert—the accumulation of U.S. power and remarkable absence of major power counter-balancing or revisionism. Unfortunately, many U.S. strategists have failed to recognize that the Unipolar Concert has ended, along with the return of geopolitical competition and a significant U.S. strategic challenge.
by Thomas Bagger
As Germany undergoes an intense process of reflection about its own role in the world, its Foreign Ministry’s policy planning director identifies four elements explaining its recent success and explores four fundamental challenges it should address to sustain the ‘‘German moment.’’
by Daniel Byman
The latest war in Gaza is over, but it will not be the last. The problem with current Israeli and international policy is there is no end state beyond repeated conflict. Now is a good time to consider alternatives, including these four, that could break the cycle of provocation, response, and war.
by Andrew Radin
Lessons from Bosnia have heavily influenced the thinking of a generation of analysts and policymakers, leading them to be applied in Kosovo, Iraq, Libya, and most recently Syria. Two of the three lessons commonly drawn from Bosnia, however, are wrong.
by Andrea Kendall-Taylor and Erica Frantz
Political dynamics in autocracies have shifted over the last generation, resulting in dictatorships that are simply more durable. Why? Ironically, authoritarian incumbents have learned to more effectively manipulate democratic institutions such as elections, political parties, and legislatures to prolong their own power.
by Scott W. Harold
The demise of the U.S. rebalance toward Asia has been widely, albeit erroneously, predicted. The reality is that the strategy is very likely to survive not only for the remainder of the Obama administration, but for years and even decades to come.
by Frederic Grare
Pakistan’s Prime Minister Sharif now has a diplomatic opportunity for substantial rapprochement with a new Indian government, but does he have the governing capacity to take it? Three key bilateral issues will provide a barometer whether Pakistan’s dysfunctional political-military relations, as well as India—Pakistan relations, can improve in the years to come.
HOW IS CHINA CHANGING?
by Yong Deng
Something profound has occurred in Chinese foreign policy. For the last decade or so, Beijing has abandoned the global frame of reference of being a ‘‘responsible power.’’ And therein lies the challenge: if not as a responsible power, on what terms will China seek to engage the international community and redistribute global power and authority?
by Aaron L. Friedberg
Why, starting around 2009, does Beijing seem to have shifted toward more forceful or ‘‘assertive’’ behavior? Far from being over, the era of Chinese assertiveness appears to be entering a new, more complex, and potentially more challenging phase.
by Oriana Skylar Mastro
China’s reliance on coercion over maritime disputes is here to stay for the foreseeable future because it is part of its anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) strategy, and Beijing believes it is working. To maintain stability, U.S. strategy needs to adjust in at least three conceptual ways.
by M. Taylor Fravel and Christopher P. Twomey
Increasingly, China is described as pursuing a ‘‘counterintervention’’ strategy to forestall the U.S. ability to operate in a regional conflict. Yet, China does not actually use the term to describe its own strategy. Doing so overstates the U.S. role in Chinese military planning and exacerbates the security dilemma.