Will China Test Trump? Lessons from Past Campaigns and Elections

December 07, 2016

by Kacie Miura and Jessica Chen Weiss

Download the print version P D F icon

Although some might expect China to try to exploit an inexperienced President Trump, our research, emphasizing two key factors in recent behavior, suggests that Beijing is unlikely to gamble on such a risky strategy, or even probe the new administration, and is more likely to adopt a wait-and-see approach and extend an early “grace period” toward the new president.